This post was written for The Ground Floor by Robert T. Dunphy, Transportation Consultant and Emeritus Fellow, at the Urban Land Institute.
There were two interesting takes on the state of transportation last week. The Texas Transportation Institute released their annual survey on the state of mobility--or perhaps immobility--finding a slight drop in congestion for the nation, attributed not to transportation investment, but rather to a deteriorating economy. This was followed by a New York Times analysis of federal stimulus spending on transportation projects, which found that most of the transportation stimulus money so far has gone to rural areas, not to the largest 100 regions which account for two-thrids of the nation’s population and three-quarters of the nation’s economy.
Of the 20 largest regions, the Times’ researchers found that that most received stimulus funds roughly one-third to one-half of the regions share of GDP. Three regions: Tampa, Florida; Riverside, California; and St. Louis, Missouri actually received a greater share, while New York and Boston’s share of stimulus funding was less than one-quarter of its share of the nation’s GDP.
In Seattle, which the Times researchers called "a typical example of rural overindulgence," Charlie Howard, transportation director of the Puget Sound Regional Council, pointed out that “it's a bit more complex. We got about 46 percent of the funding received by the state for projects in our region--we're between 50 percent and 55 percent of the state population, and over 60 percent of the state jobs. But, the state funded some rehab work on Interstate-90 that our industries rely on. We strongly supported this work as a regional benefit--even though it's technically in rural counties--the benefit is largely urban. I think the article overstated, at least for Washington, any concern we might have on 'fair share.' "
The Times article fears that “the large regions have lost a tug of war with state lawmakers that urban advocates say could hurt the nation’s economic engines.” Paving rural interstates may qualify as “shovel ready” for the sake of spending money quickly, but it obviously does not do much for a nation whose major regions are increasingly gridlocked.
What about the state of congestion? First of all, there is a slight discrepancy in timing. TTI data were for 2007, rather than 2009. This survey represents the very beginning of the economic meltdown in the U.S., and since then people have been driving less as a result of higher gas prices and a deteriorating economy. A Spring 2008 article in the LA Times already noted than that quicker commutes are a silver lining to rising gas prices and a weak economy, a pattern that has been observed in many regions, although without the thorough research of the TTI 2007 data.
They reported that peak hour commute times from suburban Santa Clarita, California to LA dropped by 3 percent between 2007-2008, while a suburban to suburban trip between Ontario and Riverside, California improved by 14 percent. Those at the top of the traffic leader board were LA; Washington, D.C.; Atlanta; Houston; Dallas-Fort Worth; San Jose; Orlando; San Diego; Detroit; and Miami were hardly popping champagne.
All of the top ten most congested regions showed reductions except Washington, D.C. and Houston, although the savings were a mere 1-2 hours annually. The LA Times noted that Roads in Los Angeles, Orange counties most congested in the United States--the typical driver in the Inland Empire experienced about 44 hours of delay in 2007, one hour less than in 2006, but this was in contrast to 1982, counties, when the annual delay in Riverside and San Bernardino was only five hours. The typical motorist in Ventura County actually experienced an increase in delay of two hours compared with 2006,which was 10 times what it was in 1982. The Dallas Morning News took little consolation in the slight improvement, opining that Dallas-Fort Worth was still among the nation's hellholes for traffic congestion, not a good sales point for the region.
While critics denounce the pork barrel politics of the U.S. Congress, the experience with the stimulus funds shows that things are even worse in the state houses--and they control far more of the nation‘s transportation budget than the federal government does. There appears to be a growing momentum for reforming the way federal transportation dollars are spent. The states need to get on board to help our nations global cities compete internationally.
In the long run, it is not the short term economic shot in the arm from stimulus projects that counts, but the long term benefit to the broader economy, and to the efficiency of these global gateways.